Climate Change; It's real. It’s man made.
It annoys me when people pull out historical data demonstrating ancient climate shifts and use these as evidence to purport that climate change isn't due to human activity. Indeed all previous changes in the climate have occurred due to geological events, massive volcanic eruptions and meteorite impacts but the current bout of climate change is fundamentally yoked to the industrial revolution and the massive effects of clear felling and burning forests, farming billions of animals for their meat and most importantly burning through all the sequestered carbon reserves that are stored in the form of coal and oil.
There are numerous events prior to the birth of modern civilisation and the agrarian revolution on a truly massive scale that did change the climate. One of these events was the explosion of Lake Toba, in Indonesia. It is now only a lake, and one of the deepest in the world, because it was blown to pieces. This single event, 70,000 years ago lead to an ice age. The average temperature dropped 3 - 5c and Geneticists believe that this climatic shift caused a bottle neck in the human genome. It is believed that only 5,000 - 10,000 breeding pairs survived the event. This same genetic bottle neck exists in the African Cheetah today from a much more recent and unrelated event. This science is well documented. The Volcanic index of explosions is exponential and Toba factored at 8, by comparison this is enormous when compared with the 1883 eruption of Krakatoa that had an idex of 6. Even still Krakatoa caused tidal waves 40m high, killed 36,000 people and caused minor climate change of 1.2 c that lasted for approximately 8 years. The explosion was heard 3000 kilometres away in Perth and air waves as a result of the explosion circled the world 7 times. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_volcanoIt is imperative for Australia to take a lead on this issue. We have one of the most vibrant, well educated democracies on the planet with enviable living standards and natural resources of sun, wind and water to turn into power! We have the ideas, we have the dollars, and all we need is the will!
Hence there is no question that natural phenomena can effect the climate. This is a fact. It is seen in ice cores, sediment and ash deposits across the globe. This however is complete unrelated to current climate change. Volcanic activity coinciding with the Industrialised age only accounts for between 1-2% of emissions as a result of human activities! This is fact.
It is also a fact that the current level of warming, although minor in the grand scale of warmings, is the most that humans have experienced since the agricultural revolution. It was the pleasant climate that made this revolution a reality. It is this climate that allowed our cities and populations to grow. It is this climate we depend on for the survival of civilisation as we know it. Hence, natural or human made, past climate impacts cannot be compared to present day climate impacts. The effect of even a small change on our agricultural sector is enormous.
Despite this some scientists and politicians would have you believe that we are all being "had". They would have that 7 billion people, consuming and polluting is not having any effect on the climate whatsoever. Lets take a look at a local politician in Australia who believes that Climate change is a fairy tale, told by tree huggers, who would rather this fablethan sending their children to evangelical schools to be beaten over the head by the myth of the rapture; Steven Fielding is The Australian Senator for Family First. Family First is a conservative party largely made up of Evangelical Movements, like Hill Song, protecting "Family values". Unfortunately God has decided that he wanted to give this lunatic an important, balance of power, seat in the Australian Senate. I have spoken to God about this! The Senate reviews all Legislation passed by the House of Representatives. Steven Fielding is until now has been unsure as to the veracity of climate change as;a) a phenomenon and b) something caused by human beings.
In order to get more information before Steven Fielding made up his mind on Climate Change and the proposed Emissions Trading Scheme, currently in the Senate awaiting review, he thought he would take a trip to America and attend "The Third International Conference on Climet Change, 2009." This sounds like a promising place to learn about climate change doesn't it. Unfortunately, like many such conferences, it was a wolf in sheeps clothing!
The event was organised by an American NGO called The Heartland Institute http://www.heartland.org/. This foundation is openly conservative (which I have no problem with) and espouses the virtues of the Free Market and identifies Milton Freedman as their thinker of choice. What I do mind is that "Heartland does not accept government funds and does not conduct "contract" research for special-interest groups" yet they on an unaffiliated website it is suggested ExxonMobil donated $500,000 to the think tank! Since the total spend for the previous financial year for the organisation was 5.2 million dollars $500,000 represents a good 10% of their revenues. Exxon Mobil a benefactor to an organisation holding an event sekeptical about climate change! Lol. As a benefactor it does not take much lateral thought to determine what outcomes a petroleum company would expect for their $500,000 http://www.buffalobeast.com/81/wind.htm
Further, it seems that unlike ExxonMobil the Heartland Institute is happy to claim that 500 prominent scientists believe Climate Change without either paying them or it seems getting their permission at all to the point that some scientists approached the organisation about being misrepresented! I quote "In April 2008, environmental journalist Richard Littlemore wrote that a bibliography written by Dennis Avery and posted on Heartland’s Web site, titled "500 Scientists with Documented Doubts of Man-Made Global Warming Scares,” included at least 45 scientists who neither knew of their inclusion as "co-authors" of the article, nor agreed with its claims regarding global warming. Dozens of the scientists asked the Heartland Institute to remove their names from the list; for instance, Gregory Cutter of Old Dominion University wrote, "I have NO doubts... the recent changes in global climate ARE man-induced. I insist that you immediately remove my name from this list since I did not give you permission to put it there." Dr. Robert Whittaker, Professor of Biogeography, University of Oxford wrote "Please remove my name. What you have done is totally unethical!"
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Heartland_Institute
I took a look at the speaking list at this sham of an event and randomly selected an individual to do further checks on. "CRAIG D. IDSO, PH.D. Chairman, Centre for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change", http://www.heartland.org/events/WashingtonDC09/speakers.html has so many letters after his name you would think he was an alphabet! Yet a closer look at his organisation indicates that he to, through his organisation, has received $90,000 from Exxon Mobil. It really begs the question, is his opinion a result of his experience and education or has it been bought with oil money?
Regardless, our Senator, Steven Fielding has returned from this event with his Evangelical eyes open to the light! He is convinced now there is no climate change! I assume this is what he wanted to hear since climate change implies change. One thing about conservantives; They will not tolerate change, even if it is inevitable. I will not further my character assassination here except to point out that as either as a result of this conference, or by appealing to the authority of this conference, Senator Fielding, holding an important seat in the Senate will not support the current ETS legislation or any legislation relating to climate change since he feels it doesn't exist.
If you find this ridiculous as I do please do the following:
1. Join http://www.facebook.com/group.php?gid=93215393217 on Facebook; Here we aim to determine the empirical and observational evidence as to whether Australian Senator Steve Fielding is real. Join the group " Steve Fielding does not exist” and discover the truth. Along the way we get to uncover the delights of right wing think tanks and oil money. It is so much fun!
2. Write a letter to the other very important Australian Senator on this issue, Nick Xenophon. I have set up a group with all his direct contact details at http://www.facebook.com/event.php?eid=93285989737&ref=mf Nick is still undecided about an ETS and is having Frontier Economics do some research on the effects of any proposed ETS. Accordingly the Legislation has been postponed until August 11 when the Senate next sits.
3. Spread the word
I have tried making the group fun. Essentially the concept was grafted from a comment made on a news.com website regarding Steven Fielding's revelation regarding climate change. One commenter wrote: "Well I don't believe that Steve Fielding exists!", this really captures the irrational essence of a man set to on a path to environmental Armageddon.
For this reason I named the group "Steven Fielding does not exist!" and opened the group with the following description:
"Scientists (funded by friends and followers) have come to the conclusion after thorough investigation that Steve Fielding of Family First does not exist! It has been a hoax all along! We also have managed to conclude that the Hill Song movement is merely a mirage caused by an abundance hot air rising off the asphalt in Castle Hill...
We can now postpone our sanity trading scheme, originally drafted to combat a seemingly undeniable rise in the amount of narrow minded suburban morons and religious zealots. A majority felt this may have been a direct consequence of children watching too many mind numbing cartoons creating a pattern of behaviour leading to the hell of midday television and ab blasters!
It seems these affects were merely overstated by the majority of considered and educated authorities on the subject and after paying a minority of individuals, who were willing to sell their souls, we have managed to conclude there is no threat to our sanity, there is no such this as Hill Song Church and there is definitely no Steve Fielding.
The idea of such a deeply disturbing, horrible and morally bankrupt individual was merely created to con us into purchasing sanity credits.
There is no imminent threat to a safety and prosperity. We can continue on auto pilot in complete safety and conveniently avoiding having to change the way we live forever!
Long live picket fences and green lawns photographed in sepia!"
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We cannot, as a collection of nations, continue to shoal like confused fish on this issue. Someone / a nation needs to take the lead and I want this to be MY country. I want our nation to be able to lay claim to the most important modern legacy to humanity.
If this gets blocked in the senate on August 11 the legislation this will be a trigger for a double dissolution election and probably one of the most important political forks in the road for our country and the planet. I urge everyone to think bigger this year and use their god given intelligence and awareness of self to make the choice our planet and children (and maybe even we) need!
2. Green House Emissions are a question of Morality. On the assumption the globe is warming because of CEO2 emissions (and this is debated by some scientists) there is a clear opportunity cost involved; My immediate self interest vrs everyone else's long term interest. It really is quite that simple. To choose to act now for your own benefit and understand this will disadvantage someone else is a moral dilema.